Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.073325 0.085757 0.099618 0.116211 0.135536 0.157332 0.183784
2026-01-25 0.053583 0.068738 0.087212 0.111375 0.142147 0.180032 0.230244
2026-02-01 0.040026 0.055744 0.076482 0.105821 0.146258 0.200046 0.277098
2026-02-08 0.031481 0.047242 0.069587 0.103534 0.153794 0.225489 0.335658
2026-02-15 0.025004 0.040185 0.063175 0.100456 0.159386 0.248993 0.395790
2026-02-22 0.020982 0.035917 0.059947 0.101318 0.170762 0.282710 0.477173
2026-03-01 0.017557 0.031868 0.056227 0.100562 0.179238 0.313115 0.558622
2026-03-08 0.014429 0.027670 0.051425 0.096969 0.182102 0.334465 0.628353
2026-03-15 0.012330 0.024894 0.048570 0.096223 0.189726 0.365126 0.719760
2026-03-22 0.011085 0.023486 0.047956 0.099502 0.205336 0.412783 0.851055
2026-03-29 0.010096 0.022387 0.047724 0.103437 0.222834 0.466759 1.003897
2026-04-05 0.009063 0.020992 0.046624 0.105347 0.236432 0.515004 1.153093
2026-04-12 0.007940 0.019255 0.044659 0.105430 0.247042 0.560724 1.309642
2026-04-19 0.006731 0.017080 0.041336 0.101878 0.249025 0.588487 1.432533
2026-04-26 0.005661 0.015011 0.037866 0.097318 0.247861 0.609142 1.543565
2026-05-03 0.004916 0.013602 0.035710 0.095551 0.253172 0.646065 1.701474
2026-05-10 0.004244 0.012237 0.033395 0.092922 0.255827 0.677090 1.850985
2026-05-17 0.003824 0.011473 0.032493 0.093863 0.268066 0.734656 2.081240
2026-05-24 0.003399 0.010600 0.031127 0.093254 0.275999 0.782474 2.294820
2026-05-31 0.002941 0.009525 0.028979 0.089978 0.275766 0.808171 2.451805
2026-06-07 0.002628 0.008829 0.027796 0.089323 0.283111 0.856578 2.684589
2026-06-14 0.002458 0.008551 0.027820 0.092395 0.302421 0.943343 3.049929
2026-06-21 0.002317 0.008342 0.028016 0.096070 0.324418 1.042340 3.473121